Premier League
EPL Roundtable: Thoughts at midway point, predictions for 2nd half of season
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Now that we’ve reached the midway point of the 2023-24 Premier League season, theScore’s soccer editors examine some of the biggest questions and storylines from England’s top flight while also looking ahead to the second half of the campaign.
Favorite moment so far?
Gordon Brunt: The aftermath of Luis Diaz’s goal against Luton Town stands out way above the rest. In his first game back after a guerrilla group kidnapped his parents in his native Colombia in late October, Diaz netted a header to earn Liverpool a crucial point on the road. But it was his gesture afterward that will stick with fans, as Diaz revealed a message on his undershirt calling for his father’s release. Fortunately, his wish came true days later, and the two were reunited in November.
Gianluca Nesci: The 4-4 thriller between Chelsea and Manchester City in November was the Premier League at its pulsating best. It was end-to-end, unadulterated chaos. The reigning champions led on three separate occasions at Stamford Bridge and looked destined for victory after Rodri’s late tally, only for Cole Palmer to provide one final twist – against his former team, no less – deep into stoppage time. The only thing more relentless than the rain was the action on the pitch. What a game.
Daniel Rouse: Liverpool’s Diaz is involved in the two best moments, and they couldn’t be more different. The calamitous exchange between the VAR and his colleagues that led to an incorrect offside decision against Diaz, thereby scribbling away a fair goal at Tottenham Hotspur, was cringe-comedy gold. However, it’s impossible to look beyond Diaz’s goal at Luton as the moment.
MVP so far this season?
Brunt: Manchester City capturing an historic fourth straight Premier League title could depend on Rodri’s health. It’s hard to ignore just how dominant Manchester City are with him in the fold. His influence really comes into light when he’s out injured or suspended. Last season’s treble winners have looked vulnerable nearly every time they play without their lynchpin.
Nesci: Virgil van Dijk. It’s no coincidence that Liverpool are legitimate title contenders once more now that the Dutchman is back to his imperious best. Jurgen Klopp’s team can be adventurous and take greater risks in attack knowing that opposition counters will run into the one-man brick wall at the other end. Van Dijk is precisely what you want in a captain, too: a calming presence capable of rousing his teammates with vocal encouragement whenever necessary.
Rouse: Declan Rice has slotted into Arsenal’s side with ease. Other players would’ve buckled under the pressure of a gargantuan £105-million transfer fee and struggled with transitioning from scrapping for David Moyes to being the orchestrator of Mikel Arteta’s compositions, but Rice took it all in his stride. His anticipation is excellent, he confidently gallops upfield like Patrick Vieira in his pomp, and he’s been decisive with goals and energetic interventions late in matches. What an upgrade from Granit Xhaka.
Who will win the title?
Brunt: No longer strangers to pressures of competing for the Premier League crown, Arsenal finally have the ingredients required to lift the title. The Gunners regrouped over the summer, reconstructed their squad, and could be poised to lift their first league title in almost 20 years thanks to the wealth of experience they gained after last season’s near miss. It’s that knowledge – and a clean bill of health – that may finally push Arsenal over the finish line, ending Manchester City’s stranglehold on England’s top flight.
Nesci: Liverpool. The Reds are probably more flawed than fellow contenders Arsenal and Manchester City – the midfield balance remains a work in progress, even at this advanced juncture of the campaign – but their resilience has shone through all season. That intangible can’t be discounted. If Klopp’s “Mentality Monsters” can withstand Mohamed Salah’s departure for the Africa Cup of Nations and stay in the hunt until he returns, they’ll be in great shape for the final push right into May.
Rouse: Manchester City. There’s no clearer indication that the Premier League’s leading pack are below their best than the fact that City, hindered by complacency and costly injuries, still have first place within reach. Arsenal and Liverpool may rue their inability to pull away while City dropped points and played in the Club World Cup, especially given the reigning champions’ tendency to improve as the season goes on. Another key factor to consider for those backing Liverpool: As Salah departs for AFCON, Kevin De Bruyne should be nearing full fitness.
Who will finish in the top four?
Brunt: Arsenal, Manchester City, Liverpool, Tottenham. As tempting as it is to include Aston Villa, it’s hard to foresee Unai Emery’s men keeping up this pace. There has to be a dip in form at some point, right? That theoretical drop-off could open the door for Spurs to climb back into the top four and seal a Champions League berth for next season. As for the title race, it doesn’t look like anyone is running away with it this year, so expect a tight battle between the top three that might go down to the wire.
Nesci: Liverpool, Manchester City, Arsenal, Aston Villa. The margins between the top three are incredibly slim. Aston Villa, meanwhile, are not only fully deserving of their current top-four spot, but also benefit from other candidates beneath them falling by the wayside. Tottenham lack consistency and defensive depth, Newcastle’s squad has been ravaged by injuries, Manchester United are a mess – despite their spirited comeback win over Villa – and Chelsea have too much ground to make up.
Rouse: Manchester City, Arsenal, Liverpool, Aston Villa. Emery’s rapid transformation of Aston Villa from rudderless, relegation-threatened outfit to Premier League highfliers is nothing short of phenomenal. The precision of their offside trap and strength of their set pieces are evidence of how this squad is completely on board with its boss’ blueprint. John McGinn headlines a considerable group of players enjoying the best form of their careers. Everything is clicking into place for Villa while so many other clubs are underperforming – and it’d be great to see the 1982 European Cup winners in next season’s Champions League.
Next manager to get fired?
Brunt: Roy Hodgson’s return to Crystal Palace probably shouldn’t have lasted beyond his admirable efforts in helping the club avoid relegation last term. The south London outfit could be another losing streak away from Hodgson, 76, contemplating his future. While he may not necessarily get sacked, the Premier League’s oldest coach at times really does look like he’s fallen out of love with the sport and could very well decide to walk away on his volition.
Nesci: Vincent Kompany. Getting Burnley back into the Premier League, particularly in such an entertaining manner, was a massive accomplishment; the Belgian transformed the club’s style after taking over. It hasn’t translated to success in the top flight, though. Kompany’s team creates few chances and scores even fewer; only last-placed Sheffield United, who’ve already made a managerial change, have a worse scoring record this season. His position hasn’t really come into question despite the poor results, but that surely has to change if things don’t turn around.
Rouse: The drawn-out ownership saga at Manchester United bought Erik ten Hag more time – but that should change now that Jim Ratcliffe has agreed to his 25% purchase of the club. Ten Hag’s hard-nosed approach has deepened divisions in the dressing room, his team’s Champions League campaign was a disaster, and the gap between England’s greatest and United has widened under his leadership. The new co-owner isn’t afraid to make changes: Ratcliffe is on his sixth manager at Ligue 1’s Nice since his takeover in the summer of 2019 and will reportedly cut up to 300 jobs as he attempts to streamline United.
Who needs to make a splash in January?
Brunt: January can’t come soon enough for Newcastle. With almost a full team sidelined with various injuries, Newcastle have slipped so far down the table that the risk of missing out on the Champions League has become a legitimate worry. Losses this month to Luton Town and Everton have only heightened calls for reinforcements during the winter transfer window. Luckily for the Magpies, there’s a seemingly bottomless pit of funds available for new players, and Newcastle could have the luxury of adding a handful of proven stars from Saudi Arabian clubs that share the same owners.
Nesci: Chelsea. Yes, seriously. Despite already spending the GDP of a small nation since Todd Boehly’s arrival, the Blues, incredibly, are still in serious need of a proven scorer to lead the line and act as the focal point that Mauricio Pochettino’s bevy of creators and wide players can orbit around. Nicolas Jackson might eventually be that guy, but he simply isn’t right now. If Chelsea can add a striker in January without running afoul of FFP, it’ll help push the Pochettino project forward in a big way.
Rouse: Injuries to important players and suspensions left Tottenham bare in some areas, to the extent that full-backs are deployed at center-back and even Bryan Gil – the attacking midfielder who looks and plays like a forlorn bassist in a forgotten indie band – started two matches. Spurs could offload the likes of Gil, Eric Dier, and Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg to help fund new signings. And, unlike in previous years, Tottenham’s recruitment team has proven it can uncover creative transfer targets to strengthen the squad.
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Premier League
Breaking down thrilling EPL title race with 10 games left
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One of the most intoxicating title races in Premier League history is, mercifully, ready to resume.
The quirks of the calendar – an FA Cup weekend succeeded by an agonizing international window – means the titanic tussle between Arsenal, Liverpool, and Manchester City will have been on hiatus for a full three weeks before it gets back underway on Sunday.
But there are no more impending interruptions. With 10 matches remaining for each title contender, we’re barreling toward a resolution to the type of three-way battle that’s exceedingly rare in England’s top flight. There’s never been a season in the Premier League era where three teams went into the final day with a chance to hoist the trophy. This could be it. The last time it happened was the 1971-72 campaign, when Derby County won an incredible four-team fight, narrowly beating Leeds United and, ominously, Liverpool and Man City to the crown. We’re overdue for that kind of drama.
That three sides have converged this way at all is, frankly, remarkable.
These are the three best teams in the country by an enormous margin. They’re the only ones with an expected goal difference per game of plus-1.0 or greater this season. The next best mark, surprisingly, belongs to Mauricio Pochettino’s erratic Chelsea team at plus-0.36. So, yeah, it’s not close.
The three of them are also on a tear and show no signs of slowing down. Arsenal have won all eight of their league games in 2024, scoring 33 goals in the process; Liverpool have collected 22 of a possible 27 points in that time; reigning champions Manchester City have racked up 23 of 27 points. They’ve combined for just one loss since the calendar flipped – Liverpool’s 3-1 defeat against Arsenal in early February.
The only sides that look capable of halting their progress are each other, which makes this weekend’s clash between Manchester City and Arsenal at the Etihad all the more significant.
Each contender has a compelling reason for believing it’s “their” year.
Arsenal
Mikel Arteta’s men look far more assured and mature than last season when they set the pace for nearly the entire campaign, only to crumble down the stretch and relinquish their once sizeable advantage to Manchester City. Do-it-all superstar Declan Rice has been a transformative figure in midfield, while Kai Havertz, after an inauspicious start, is becoming an increasingly vital and consistent scoring threat. At least from the outside, there appears to be more self-belief within the Arsenal camp. Having learned from their experience in 2022-23, Arsenal won’t cede top spot so easily this time. It’ll need to be ripped from them.
Some may be inclined to dismiss their recent run because of their opponents. Yes, the Gunners have played some weak teams – Sheffield United! Burnley! Nottingham Forest! – but, for the most part, they aren’t just beating them; they’re blowing them away with a ruthlessness usually associated with title winners. For those still unconvinced, Sunday’s visit to the Etihad, where they were tossed aside like a rag doll in last season’s 4-1 loss, will be the ultimate litmus test to see if this team is ready to end the club’s 20-year title drought.
Liverpool
Jurgen Klopp’s persistent squad, already with the League Cup in tow, aims to send off their departing bench boss in style. Liverpool have been the most entertaining team of the trio this season. They create more chances than Arsenal and City and concede more opportunities. Darwin Nunez, the ultimate agent of chaos on a football pitch, is the perfect fit for a team with a habit of scoring late goals and delivering dramatic moments. Their title charge is built on more than just vibes, though.
Liverpool overwhelmed none other than City in their last league game before the international break but came away from the pulsating affair at Anfield with a 1-1 draw. City, usually self-confident and domineering in possession, simply held on against what Pep Guardiola dubbed a “tsunami” of pressure. There was obviously some added incentive at play, but Liverpool are built to go full speed regardless of the opposition. It’s in their nature under Klopp.
Manchester City
Despite not being at its vintage best this term, Guardiola’s accomplished crew remains the favorite in the eyes of many who, for good reason, simply refuse to pick against them. We’ve been conditioned to feel like City will inevitably be the last team standing because, well, they usually are. Five titles in the previous six seasons will have that effect on the collective psyche. However, Erling Haaland isn’t replicating his ferocious scoring pace from last season, and Kevin De Bruyne has been limited to six league starts. Also, outside of some electrifying Jeremy Doku performances, the summer signings haven’t exactly set the world alight. And yet, here they are, just one point off the top, showing the quiet confidence and tranquility that can only be obtained through winning experiences.
With Phil Foden leading the way and authoring arguably the best season of anyone in the league, City could become the first team in English history to win four consecutive top-flight titles.
Strength of schedule
On paper, Arsenal have the most difficult fixture list.
Their remaining opponents average 41.8 points this season, roughly corresponding to ninth place in the table. Put another way, it would be the equivalent of playing Wolves (41 points) or Brighton (42) each week. It doesn’t help that many of Arsenal’s toughest matches are away from home. Coincidentally, they have upcoming trips to Brighton and Wolves, along with north London rivals Tottenham and Manchester United, following this weekend’s potentially decisive tilt at the Etihad. It’s tough.
Manchester City’s task is slightly more forgiving, as their remaining opponents average 40.7 points or 10th place.
Liverpool appear to have the most favorable schedule of the trophy chasers, with their opponents averaging 38.4 points, a tally representing the haul of a team in the bottom half of the table. While that’s better than the alternative, it’s not quite so simple for the Reds. On the back of a potentially draining Europa League quarterfinal second leg against Atalanta in mid-April – more on that soon – Klopp’s men have three away games in seven days against Fulham, Everton, and West Ham. In addition to battling their local nemesis, who could still be scrapping for survival at that point, Liverpool will also face a rambunctious Goodison crowd that would love nothing more than to play a critical role in stopping their hated rivals from winning another league crown.
Aston Villa and Spurs, meanwhile, stand out as common foes for all three title hopefuls. Sitting fourth and fifth, respectively, and engaged in their own fight to secure a Champions League place, they could play the role of kingmakers this spring.
European commitments
Balancing the mental and physical demands of domestic play with continental competition is a huge piece of this puzzle for all three teams. Midweek success can further galvanize a group, but taxing failures can cripple a team’s momentum at home.
Much like the domestic schedule, Liverpool seem to have an edge here. Arsenal and Manchester City will face European behemoths Bayern Munich and Real Madrid in a pair of mouthwatering Champions League quarterfinal ties beginning next month. However, Liverpool have a comparatively charitable Europa League encounter with Atalanta.
If they both advance, Arsenal and City will meet in the Champions League semifinals, an outcome that will surely be celebrated wildly on Merseyside.
How those games intermingle with the league schedule also matters. Liverpool play Crystal Palace and Fulham following their two matchups with the Italian outfit. After locking horns with Bayern, Arsenal have to contend with Aston Villa and Wolves. Manchester City, still active on three fronts as they seek a second consecutive treble, host lowly Luton after the first leg of their Real Madrid rematch and take on Chelsea in the FA Cup semifinals following the second leg.
Injury concerns
Liverpool have been plagued by injuries all season. Mohamed Salah, Trent Alexander-Arnold, Darwin Nunez, Diogo Jota, and Andy Robertson, among others, have missed varying amounts of time, though the bulk of that group is getting back to full fitness. Alisson Becker remains sidelined and might not return until mid-April. Defensive stalwart Virgil van Dijk is the only Liverpool player to garner over 2,000 league minutes this season, indicating how disruptive injuries have been for Klopp’s team. And yet, they persevere.
Five Manchester City players have cleared the 2,000-minute mark thus far, and a couple more are on the cusp. But the club was without De Bruyne for the entire first half of the season, while trips to the treatment room ravaged Jack Grealish’s year. City also got hit the hardest by the recent international break, with John Stones and Kyle Walker hurt on England duty and racing against time to recover for Sunday’s match versus Arsenal. Swiss defender Manuel Akanji is in the same boat, and Ederson’s return date from a thigh injury remains uncertain. Never shy about tweaking his lineup, Guardiola could be forced to tinker yet again.
Arsenal have been largely unscathed, with six players eclipsing 2,000 league minutes. William Saliba, whose absence last season played an outsize role in Arsenal’s capitulation, has been on the pitch for every second of league play in 2023-24. Gabriel Jesus has battled ailments all year, and Jurrien Timber suffered an ACL injury just 49 minutes into his Premier League debut in the season opener. But the Gunners will be hoping their relative good fortune on the injury front extends right through May, especially as it relates to Bukayo Saka, who pulled out of the England squad to nurse a minor muscular issue.
Prediction
First, a disclaimer: Luck will play a pivotal role in determining which team is crowned on May 19. Injuries will continue to be a factor. There will almost certainly be contentious refereeing and VAR decisions that favor and oppose the title challengers. There will also be finishing variance, with players missing seemingly easy chances and converting more difficult opportunities.
Impossible to predict? No matter. We’re not going to let that stop us.
Considering their advantageous schedule, at home and in Europe, along with their improving squad health at just the right time and the inescapable feeling that this is a team of destiny determined to send their beloved manager out on a high, we’re going with Liverpool, who’ll collect 88 points to pip their rivals and again interrupt Manchester City’s run of domestic dominance.
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Premier League
Euro 2024 playoffs: Miraculous Ukraine comeback, big result for Wales
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Wales, Greece, and Poland registered statement wins Thursday, joining three other teams in next Tuesday’s playoff finals for the three remaining places at Euro 2024.
Ukraine staged an incredible late comeback against Bosnia and Herzegovina in its semifinal to keep its Euro dream alive.
The highest-placed team in FIFA’s rankings that’s no longer in contention to reach the tournament in Germany is 60th-placed Finland.
Here’s how the playoff semifinals across Path A, B, and C played out.
Path A
Poland 5-1 Estonia
Estonia barely stood a chance. Down to 10 men as early as the 27th minute, the northern Europeans could only muster a consolation goal in a 5-1 loss to Poland. The Polish achieved the rout without Robert Lewandowski getting on the scoresheet and remain unbeaten in 21 Euro qualifiers at home, a magnificent run dating back to September 2006. Poland is trying to make up for a poor qualifying campaign in which it finished third in Group E, four points behind the Czech Republic and Albania. The country hasn’t missed the Euros since 2004.
Wales 4-1 Finland
The Red Wall might descend on Germany this summer. Wales’ raucous supporters have legitimate hopes of traveling to another major tournament after the Dragons scorched Finland without the retired Gareth Bale and with Aaron Ramsey, 33, on the bench after more injury problems. Teemu Pukki gave the visiting team some hope just before halftime following well-taken finishes from David Brooks and Neco Williams. But Wales needed just 73 seconds of the second period to restore its two-goal cushion via Brennan Johnson’s tap-in. Daniel James took advantage of a defensive error before rounding the goalkeeper in the 86th minute to give the host a resounding victory.
Playoff final: Wales vs. Poland, Tuesday 3:45 p.m. ET
Path B
Israel 1-4 Iceland
Iceland’s Albert Gudmundsson stole the show with an emphatic hat-trick against Israel on Thursday. His stunning free-kick into the top right corner canceled out Eran Zahavi’s opening goal for Israel, and he created a nice cushion for his country with a pair of markers in the final 10 minutes. Just before that, Zahavi blew an incredible opportunity to equalize the match at 2-2, missing a penalty awarded for handball against Iceland’s Gudmundur Thorarinsson. A red card to Israel’s Haim Revivo didn’t help the trailing side. Iceland is now a game away from making only its second-ever appearance at the Euros following its quarterfinal run in 2016.
Bosnia and Herzegovina 1-2 Ukraine
Ukraine scored twice with just minutes remaining in regulation to snatch what seemed to be a sure victory from Bosnia and Herzegovina on Thursday. Bosnia controlled play for most of the match and took the lead in the 56th minute when Mykola Matviyenko turned in Amar Dedic’s shot into his own net. But a colossal defensive lapse cost the Bosnians a chance to make it a record four countries from the former Yugoslavia at Euro 2024. Roman Yaremchuk came off the bench to equalize in the 85th minute and teed up Artem Dovbyk’s sensational winning header three minutes later to turn the playoff semifinal on its head. Ukraine now faces Iceland with a third consecutive Euro appearance at stake.
Playoff final: Ukraine vs. Iceland, Tuesday 3:45 p.m. ET
Path C
Georgia 2-0 Luxembourg
Two clever finishes from Budu Zivzivadze in Tbilisi assured Georgia of a place in Path C’s final – and all without the help of suspended talisman Khvicha Kvaratskhelia. But it wasn’t that simple for the host. Luxembourg thought it equalized during the second half, only for the goal to be eventually snatched away due to Maxime Chanot’s apparent foul 45 seconds earlier. Luxembourg’s Chanot was controversially sent off for denying a clear goal-scoring opportunity, and Zivzivadze effectively ended the match six minutes later with his second strike. Kvaratskhelia is available for the final.
Greece 5-0 Kazakhstan
Anastasios Bakasetas lashed home a penalty, Dimitrios Pelkas headed into the net’s roof, Fotis Ioannidis tapped in from close range, and Dimitrios Kourbelis added another header. And that was all before halftime. Kazakhstan’s impressive 2022-23 Nations League campaign and notable Euro 2024 qualifying wins over Denmark, Northern Ireland (twice), and Finland suddenly seemed ages ago, as Greece recorded its biggest halftime lead since October 1978 (5-0 against Finland). Aleksandr Marochkin’s embarrassing own goal in the 85th minute made Kazakhstan’s day even worse.
Playoff final: Georgia vs. Greece, Tuesday 1:00 p.m. ET
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Premier League
Look: Nike unveils beautiful kit selection for Euro 2024, Copa America
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Nike released a stunning batch of threads ahead of Euro 2024 and Copa America on Monday.
Days after Adidas launched its lineup for the summer’s top two tournaments, Nike followed suit with an array of colorful designs.
The U.S. manufacturer also announced redesigns for Canada and Poland, even though they’ve yet to qualify for their respective tournaments. The Canucks face Trinidad and Tobago in a one-off Copa America qualifier on Saturday, while Poland must navigate a four-team playoff to reach Euro 2024.
(All images courtesy of Nike)
Euro 2024
Croatia
Home
The square-shaped design that gives Croatia its unique look gets a slight upgrade. The home shirt features larger squares than ever before.
Away
Croatia’s away shirt plays on the national flag, with the traditional checkered pattern now on a slant.
England
Home
Influenced by England’s 1966 training gear, the home shirt has a classic feel with a rich blue collar and gorgeous trim along the cuffs.
Away
England embraces a deep purple hue for its away selection. The crest stands out with a contrasting off-white tint that makes the three lions pop.
France
Home
France’s home shirt may have the biggest crest of all of Nike’s offerings. The oversized rooster defines this shirt as much as the royal blue that’s made France’s kits a crowd-pleaser.
Away
The pinstripes mirror the colors of France’s national flag and span the width of the shirt in a simple, yet elegant design.
Netherlands
Home
Nike could’ve offered anything orange here, and it would’ve been perfect. But the Netherlands has something bolder and better to wear. The zig-zag pattern adds edge.
Away
The orange collar and cuffs pop alongside the three shades of blue Nike has chosen to create the abstract design on this work of art.
Poland
Home
Poland dedicates premium real estate on the country’s home shirt to its imposing crest.
Away
Poland’s away shirt is a daring choice. The graphic treatment adds texture, giving it a rugged feel while separating from the red tones of years past.
Portugal
Home
With possibly the best home shirt in Nike’s collection, Portugal leans heavily into its traditional red-and-green motif with a polo collar and thick cuffs. The logo sits prominently as well. A smash hit.
Away
Here’s another winner. Portugal’s away strip has a stunning textile imprint that gives off a cool summer vibe.
Turkey
Home
This is a menacing look. Turkey will look like a whirring red army with these imposing shirts.
Away
The classic red band returns to Turkey’s away uniform. Like the others, it features an oversized crest in the middle of the shirt.
Copa America
Brazil
Home
Nike goes big with Brazil’s crest and adds an intricate design to the same yellow hue the Selecao have used for decades.
Away
Brazil’s secondary strip feels like the beach. A horizontal wavy pattern covering the entire shirt mimics the country’s picturesque coastline.
Canada
Home
The only blemish in Nike’s lineup. Why is there a circle around the swoosh? And why are the shoulders so much darker than the body? None of it makes sense.
Away
The 13 pinstripes are supposed to represent the 10 provinces and three territories that make up Canada. Unfortunately, the rest of the shirt looks incomplete.
United States
Home
The United States men’s national team gets a classic home shirt with patriotic detailing along the color and sleeves.
Away
The gradient works perfectly with the red shorts the U.S. will wear at the Copa America.
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