Serie A

Ranking the 20 best deals of the January transfer window

With the January transfer window slamming shut on Monday night, theScore ranks the 20 best moves made across the game’s top leagues.

20. Chris Wood ?? Newcastle United

Details: Signed from Burnley for reported £25M fee

In a vacuum, signing Wood isn’t exactly the kind of huge swing you’d expect from a club brandished as the wealthiest in the world following its recent Saudi-led takeover. The 30-year-old striker only has three Premier League goals this campaign, after all. But when you’re in a relegation scrap, every little bit counts, and paying a negligible fee – by their nouveau-riche standards – to rid a direct rival of its starting center-forward could help make the difference between top-flight survival and life in the Championship. It’s entirely possible that Wood’s signing could be deemed a success even if he never finds the net for Newcastle. this season. That’s exactly the type of calculated signing you can make when money is no obstacle.

19. Anel Ahmedhodzic ?? Bordeaux

Details: Initial loan from Malmo with reported obligation to buy

The club that helped foster the talents of Jules Kounde, Aurelien Tchouameni, and Yacine Adli is at it again. Ahmedhodzic, 22, had been linked with the likes of Manchester United, Chelsea, and AC Milan in recent months but instead opted for a more modest switch to Bordeaux, where he’ll have the opportunity to continue developing. An imposing center-back with impressive athleticism, the Bosnian international knows how to leverage his physical skills – and he’ll only continue to get stronger, too. This is almost certainly a stepping stone to a more opulent transfer for Ahmedhodzic, making it a win-win for everyone.

18. Samuele Ricci ?? Torino

Jonathan Moscrop / Getty Images Sport / Getty

Details: Initial loan from Empoli with obligation to buy

Torino very quietly made one of the most astute signings of the January window, adding a 20-year-old central midfielder who has already shown enormous growth potential. Ricci, a tidy dribbler who developed through Empoli’s prolific academy, has featured regularly throughout the Italian youth setup. In the mold of Marco Verratti and Manuel Locatelli, he’s calm and composed on the ball, especially in tight spaces, and is always eager to receive a pass in front of the defense. Ricci’s move, which will reportedly become permanent for a very modest €11 million, should help fellow midfielders Tommaso Pobega and Sasa Lukic race forward into the penalty area while the young Italian holds down the fort.

17. Romain Faivre ?? Lyon

Details: Signed from Brest for reported €15M fee

Lyon had to act quickly to address the glaring hole Bruno Guimaraes’ departure created – more on that later. They couldn’t have done much better than procuring Tanguy Ndombele and Faivre. The former – back in a familiar setting – should be able to relaunch a once-promising career, while the latter has established himself as one of the finest creators in Ligue 1 this campaign. Faivre is one of just seven players in France’s top flight with at least five goals and five assists on the campaign, and amid all the ungodly cash flying around, Les Gones have seemingly pulled off a coup in adding the 23-year-old attacking midfielder. His signing also helps account for Rayan Cherki’s potential departure.

16. Stephen Eustaquio ?? FC Porto

Details: Initial loan from Pacos de Ferreira with option to buy

Canada’s most talented midfielder now has an opportunity to shine with Porto, one of Portugal’s biggest clubs. Eustaquio, 25, has taken the long road to the top, first playing for low-tier sides in Portugal before trying his luck in Mexico. The move to Cruz Azul in 2019 backfired – Eustaquio was out injured for the majority of his time there – but he rediscovered himself at Pacos de Ferreira. Few outside of the district of Porto would’ve recognized him before he made the giant leap forward with the Canadian national team. Seventeen of his 18 total international appearances came in 2021, a huge year for him personally but also for the country’s program. Canada’s on the brink of advancing to the World Cup for the first time since 1986, and Eustaquio’s vertical passing and control in midfield have been a big part of this qualification campaign.

15. Lucas Digne ?? Aston Villa

Neville Williams / Aston Villa FC / Getty

Details: Signed from Everton for reported £25M fee

Steven Gerrard’s presence is paying serious dividends. Digne, a French international who also drew Chelsea’s interest in January, said upon completing his transfer that he moved to Villa Park “for the manager.” After his relationship with former Everton bench boss Rafa Benitez soured, having a coach who appreciates his obvious talent will be a welcome change. The Toffees’ loss is Aston Villa’s substantial gain. The 28-year-old left-back is an upgrade on Matt Targett in both phases of play, offering a dangerous attacking threat while never shunning his defensive responsibilities. Digne’s a particularly sturdy tackler, too, which will be a hit with the Villa faithful.

14. Sergio Oliveira ?? Roma

Details: Initial loan from Porto with option to buy

Oliveira has already made an immediate impact at Roma, scoring two goals in as many games since joining the club from Porto, but his attacking influence has been a bonus. Roma already have several players who can find the net. The club’s biggest issue has been inconsistency and a lack of guile – something Jose Mourinho hasn’t been shy about openly questioning throughout the season. Oliveira, a dogged box-to-box competitor, made a point to highlight the winning “mentality” that he derived at Porto when introduced in the Italian capital. “I am coming here from a club, Porto, where losing is not allowed and is always a problem to be dealt with,” he said. “The target is to help improve the mentality and the ambition here.”

13. Ricardo Pepi ?? FC Augsburg

Details: Signed from FC Dallas for reported $20M fee

The focus from a North American perspective was, naturally, that Pepi’s move marked an MLS record for guaranteed money paid for a homegrown player. But the fee also smashed Augsburg’s own transfer record as the club endeavors to develop exciting, young talent in Bavaria. Pepi’s rise thus far has been rapid. He was named MLS Young Player of the Year for his team-best 13 strikes for FC Dallas, as well as U.S. Soccer Young Male Player of the Year for the three goals and two assists he recorded since his international debut in September. Pepi may need time to settle in Germany, but the long-term payoff of this move promises to be huge.

12. Anthony Martial ?? Sevilla

Fran Santiago / Getty Images Sport / Getty

Details: Loan from Manchester United until the end of the season

For a team that wants to close the gap with league-leading Real Madrid, Sevilla have a modest record in front of goal. Rafa Mir is the Andalusians’ top La Liga scorer with six goals – about one-third the amount tallied by Karim Benzema and exactly half of Vinicius Junior’s haul – and the side is averaging fewer shots on target per game than Rayo Vallecano. Cue the arrival of Martial, a player who’s desperate for minutes and will look to establish himself as the main attacking force down the left, ahead of 33-year-old Papu Gomez. When Martial was a consistent starter for Manchester United in the 2019-20 Premier League season, he had 17 goals and six assists.

11. Ferran Torres ?? Barcelona

Details: Signed from Manchester City for reported €55M fee

Barcelona president Joan Laporta heralded Torres’ arrival at Camp Nou as the start of a revolution. “We are back as big players in the market,” Laporta told reporters on Jan. 3. It remains to be seen if that’s the case. Barcelona couldn’t even register Torres until they negotiated outbound transfers and trimmed their payroll. What’s clear, though, is the player’s talent. Torres is an efficient attacker who can play anywhere across the front line, and at 21, he represents the future Barcelona are trying to build.

10. Dejan Kulusevski ?? Tottenham Hotspur

Details: Initial loan from Juventus with €35-million option to buy

Fabio Paratici is banking on his familiarity with Juventus to generate a positive impact in north London, as Tottenham nabbed both Rodrigo Bentancur and Kulusevski hours before the January window slammed shut on Monday. Bentancur is a solid, if perhaps unspectacular, midfielder who will add vigor and balance to Spurs’ positional group. But of the Juve duo signed on deadline day, Kulusevski is the crown jewel. The versatile Swedish international, 21, proved he could be a dominant attacking force when he broke onto the scene with a spectacular season at Parma. Kulusevski’s career has stagnated since then, but at his best, he’s an explosive athlete who combines speed, balance, and crafty dribbling to great effect.

9. Adama Traore ?? Barcelona

Quality Sport Images / Getty Images Sport / Getty

Details: Initial loan from Wolves with reported €30M option to buy

Since the club’s relationship with Ousmane Dembele is now completely deteriorated, it made sense for Barcelona to pursue another winger in the transfer market, even if it took some more creative accounting to make the finances work. In welcoming La Masia graduate Traore back to Catalonia, Barca are getting arguably the best pure dribbler in the game, full stop. Among qualified players, the strapping Spaniard’s rate of 5.21 successful dribbles per 90 minutes is unrivaled across Europe’s top five leagues this season. There is literally nobody better in one-on-one situations. With Lionel Messi in Paris and Ansu Fati spending much of the campaign out injured, the Blaugrana are desperately in need of someone who can unsettle the opposition defense by beating his marker.

8. Philippe Coutinho ?? Aston Villa

Details: Initial loan from Barcelona with reported €40M option to buy

It’s safe to say Coutinho wouldn’t have joined Villa if not for Steven Gerrard. The two played together at Liverpool, and Gerrard saw the Brazilian midfielder’s excellence firsthand before he suffered a slow and painful decline at Barcelona. “You don’t lose talent. The key thing for Phil is that he needs to be in a place where he feels loved,” Gerrard said after his star signing recorded a goal and an assist in a remarkable cameo appearance against Manchester United. Now 29, Coutinho has a great opportunity to kick-start his career under a manager who appreciates his skills and demands the same swift, forward-thinking brand of football the midfielder loves to play.

7. Lorenzo Insigne ?? Toronto FC

Details: Joining on free transfer from Napoli at the end of the season

Insigne is reportedly set to earn €11.5 million per season over the next four years in Toronto, an exorbitant deal that he couldn’t possibly get in his native Italy, where he’s spent his entire career. Napoli, his hometown club, were only offering around €3.5 million. So it’s easy to understand why he opted to move to Major League Soccer at 30 years old, and he’s arguably an even bigger signing than Sebastian Giovinco was in 2015. Insigne is still a regular for the Italian national team, captain for title-chasing Napoli, and in the prime of his career.

6. Denis Zakaria ?? Juventus

Filippo Alfero – Juventus FC / Juventus FC / Getty

Details: Signed from Borussia Monchengladbach for €8.6M fee

Juventus learned the hard way that free transfers aren’t free. Aaron Ramsey earned €7 million a season after joining from Arsenal, Emre Can received a staggering €16-million signing-on fee in 2018 before exiting two years later, and Adrien Rabiot arrived from Paris Saint-Germain on another bloated contract in 2019. So, this time, they made a preemptive move for pending free agent Zakaria, locking him down now to avoid the inevitable auction for his services in the summer. Juventus agreed to pay a nominal €4.5 million to Borussia Monchengladbach and an additional €4.1 million in related costs to recruit the 25-year-old midfielder while handing a four-and-a-half-year contract that pays him a reported €3 million per season. That’s a reasonable amount for a player who should add much-needed bite to Juventus’ midfield.

5. Robin Gosens ?? Inter Milan

Details: Initial loan from Atalanta with reported €25M obligation to buy

In terms of value, Inter’s deal for one of Serie A’s most prolific wing-backs ranks high among transfers across Europe’s top leagues this winter. The Nerazzurri structured the deal so they can get their finances in order before paying the fee in full – a necessary evil given their recent attempt to issue new bonds and rework debt. Once fit, Gosens will replace converted wing-back Ivan Perisic on the left flank, where he’ll lend a greater hand defensively than his Croatian counterpart. The 27-year-old German has only made five starts this season because of a debilitating hamstring injury, but he’ll be available for the crucial title run-in.

4. Julian Alvarez ?? Manchester City

Details: Signed from River Plate for reported £14M fee, loaned back

After trying to sign Harry Kane and Cristiano Ronaldo in the summer transfer window, Manchester City shelved plans for immediate assistance up front by signing and loaning back 22-year-old forward Alvarez. City may attempt to bring in Erling Haaland next summer, but at least they can do so without feeling desperate. Unlike some of their random signings from South America, the reigning Premier League champions reportedly have no intention of flipping Alvarez for a quick profit. He’s already made his debut for Argentina, and at River, he plays in a high-tempo system that mirrors Guardiola’s City.

3. Dusan Vlahovic ?? Juventus

Daniele Badolato – Juventus FC / Juventus FC / Getty

Details: Signed from Fiorentina for initial €81.6M fee

Juventus may have paid a hefty fee to secure Vlahovic, but it’s certainly a bet worth making. The 22-year-old scoring sensation from Fiorentina recently tied Cristiano Ronaldo’s Serie A record of 33 goals in a calendar year. In Juventus’ grasp is the most coveted attacking prospect not named Erling Haaland or Kylian Mbappe, a physical specimen who will lead the club’s sagging offense with refreshing aplomb and become the new face of the franchise. Juventus realized halfway through the season that they couldn’t rely on Alvaro Morata or Moise Kean to score goals regularly, and in Vlahovic, they’ve found a player for the present and future.

2. Luis Diaz ?? Liverpool

Details: Signed from FC Porto for reported £37.5M fee

Liverpool went about these negotiations quietly. There was no public unveiling or tracking of incoming flights. Diaz was in Argentina for Colombia’s latest World Cup qualifier, unable to travel to Liverpool to finalize the deal, so the club sent its reps to South America instead and arranged a medical there before putting pen to paper. That’s how much they wanted to complete this signing. Putting aside Diaz’s own merits as a left-sided attacker with 14 goals and four assists in 18 Primeira Liga matches this season, his presence instantly gives Liverpool depth in attack and an alternative to either Sadio Mane or Mohamed Salah, who could allow their contracts to expire at the end of next season. If either of them walks away, Diaz will step in and offer the same electrifying output up front. Liverpool have been proactive here, and it should pay off.

1. Bruno Guimaraes ?? Newcastle United

Details: Signed from Lyon for reported £40M fee

Newcastle’s first transfer window under Saudi ownership was a success, and landing Guimaraes was their biggest coup of all. The Magpies warded off competition from Arsenal and Juventus to complete a deal for the 24-year-old Brazilian international midfielder. Guimaraes will help Newcastle retain possession and give his team the control it’s lacked in games thus far under manager Eddie Howe. The higher-ups have reportedly been scouting Guimaraes for several years, so they know what they’re getting. He’s not a name they found on transfermarkt.com – Guimaraes just wasn’t within Newcastle’s reach until they came into some money in October.

Serie A

Managerial merry-go-round: Predicting hires for marquee jobs

Find the biggest stories from across the soccer world by visiting our Top Soccer News section and subscribing to push notifications.

Forget the transfer window. World football’s biggest source of summer intrigue may very well come from a bevy of impending coaching hires after some of Europe’s most illustrious jobs suddenly became available all at once.

Jurgen Klopp dropped the first bombshell, deciding to depart Liverpool at the end of the campaign after a transformative nine-year spell at Anfield. Then, Xavi Hernandez, citing the “cruel and unpleasant” nature of his work at Barcelona, announced he would do the same. Bayern Munich and Thomas Tuchel promptly followed by confirming they will part at season’s end, too. In the blink of an eye, three coveted coaching positions at iconic clubs opened up at a time when some of the sport’s most decorated tacticians just so happen to be looking for work.

With that in mind, and with several other elite teams likely also looking for a new bench boss, we’re identifying ideal candidates for each job.

Open seats

Barcelona

Hansi Flick

Stuart Franklin / Getty Images Sport / Getty

Xavi’s decision to leave his post was the most surprising of all the recent announcements. Klopp has spent nearly a decade at Anfield, winning almost every possible trophy, while Tuchel’s fit at Bayern was always tenuous, at best. The decorated ex-midfielder, however, only took over at Barca in 2021 and led his former team to a league title in his first full season. Even still, he said the job was “terrible on a mental health level” and sapped his morale. Not exactly a ringing endorsement. Constant criticism, financial decay, and off-field disarray may deter some, but this remains one of the sport’s biggest roles.

Former Bayern Munich and Germany manager Flick checks too many boxes to be overlooked. He led Bayern to a treble in 2020, has experience dealing with big personalities, and his attack-minded style gels with Barcelona’s longstanding philosophy. Perhaps most critically, he’s not under contract anywhere else, so cash-strapped Barca wouldn’t have to pay a fee to obtain him. In what could be viewed as a preemptive move, Flick joined Pini Zahavi’s Gol International agency in February. The Israeli super agent has very close ties with Barca president Joan Laporta, particularly after brokering Robert Lewandowski’s transfer in 2022. That relationship matters, and it puts Flick in prime position to become the next Barcelona manager.

Bayern Munich

Sebastian Hoeness

Make no mistake, Bayern Munich want Xabi Alonso. The tug-of-war with Liverpool is underway behind the scenes. Should they miss out on their primary target, though, there’s another young tactician making waves in Germany who would be a perfect fit at the Allianz Arena. Were it not for the remarkable job Alonso’s doing at Leverkusen, Hoeness, 41, would be the talk of the town. Stuttgart were last in the Bundesliga when he assumed the job in April 2023. After navigating a relegation playoff to remain in the top tier, he now has them sitting comfortably in a Champions League place, mixing possession-based football with occasional bursts of more direct play.

That he recently signed a contract extension with Stuttgart complicates matters, but only somewhat. It wouldn’t be prohibitive. Bayern can afford to pay whatever is necessary to pry him away. If anything, seeing their title-winning streak end will only strengthen their resolve to do so. And then there’s that famous name. Hoeness’ uncle, Uli, is Bayern’s honorary president and still wields immense power. His father, Dieter, scored over 100 goals for the Bavarian outfit. And Sebastian himself has already worked for the club, winning a third-division title with Bayern’s U23 team in 2020. Those connective tissues are tough to ignore.

Liverpool

Xabi Alonso

Alexander Hassenstein / Getty Images Sport / Getty

The enormity of the task facing Liverpool can’t be overstated. Klopp is more than just a wildly successful manager who brought the Merseyside club back to the pinnacle of the sport. He’s a truly beloved figure who forged an unbreakable connection with the city and fans. He cares deeply about the people at the club and has always wanted everyone to share in its success. Replicating that 100% with their next hire, is, frankly, impossible. There isn’t another Jurgen Klopp out there. Liverpool need to find someone with similarly holistic values who can take what the German has built and put their own mark on it. One man stands out as the obvious choice.

Alonso, the club’s top target, isn’t a perfect stylistic match on the pitch. Liverpool, who value a data-driven approach to these decisions, will already know that the Spaniard’s Leverkusen team doesn’t play the same type of aggressive vertical game that Klopp’s men have long thrived on. But he can be adaptable, as his players have noted during their remarkable unbeaten season thus far. He trusts his tactical ideas but isn’t beholden to them. Having spent five years at Anfield during his playing career, there’s also a bond already in place that the other realistic candidates cannot claim. And, crucially in the supporters’ eyes, he has Klopp’s approval; the outgoing coach recently dubbed Alonso the “standout” manager of the new generation. There are plenty of good options available, but he’s the right one for Liverpool.

Other clubs to watch

AC Milan

Fluctuating levels of fan satisfaction with a manager isn’t unique to AC Milan. Far from it. But, even within that context, the constant shift in sentiment toward Stefano Pioli has been disorienting for some time. The Italian was a hero when he delivered Milan their first Scudetto in over a decade in 2022 and then got them to the semifinals of the Champions League.

But his poor record against city rivals Inter is the cause of much consternation, and, even though Milan have surged up to second place in Serie A in 2024, rumors about Pioli’s potential successor have been swirling for much of the season amid inconsistent performances and some humiliating defeats. Antonio Conte, seemingly ready to return to the touchline after spurning Napoli’s advances last year, could complete an Italian trifecta having already coached Juventus and Inter, where he won league titles with both.

Bayer Leverkusen

Angel Martinez / Getty Images Sport / Getty

Xabi Alonso’s departure is all but guaranteed. The identity of his potential successor, however, is a mystery. What’s most unusual is the lack of chatter. By now, you’d expect agents and intermediaries to leak information about their clients being connected with the job. Maybe the big-name coaches view it as a poisoned chalice?

Barring a huge collapse, Alonso will guide Leverkusen to their first-ever Bundesliga title. Any incoming boss will be held up against that standard and have to deal with a rejuvenated Bayern Munich while likely losing some of the club’s top talents in the summer. The best fit, then, is a young manager who, like Alonso when he arrived at the BayArena, is trying to rise through the ranks. Spanish legend Raul, currently coaching Real Madrid’s Castilla, has history in Germany from his time at Schalke and fits that bill. After experiencing huge success with one ascendant Spaniard, why not another?

Borussia Dortmund

Edin Terzic’s position has been under threat ever since Dortmund’s brutal collapse on the final day of the 2022-23 campaign handed the title to perennial rivals Bayern Munich. The team’s error-prone performances this season have done little to quell speculation over his future. Dortmund sit fourth in the Bundesliga, one point above RB Leipzig in the race for the division’s final Champions League place.

The next two months will almost certainly be decisive, both for the club’s fortunes, and Terzic’s. Coming out of the international break, Dortmund play Bayern, Stuttgart, and Atletico Madrid – twice – in the Champions League. They immediately follow up the second leg of that quarterfinal tie with games against Leverkusen and Leipzig. You couldn’t concoct a more challenging gauntlet if you tried. If Dortmund flounder, they could look to Julian Nagelsmann, whose contract as Germany’s national team boss is slated to expire after Euro 2024.

Chelsea

How many more times can Mauricio Pochettino ask Chelsea supporters for patience? How long until he gets tired of hearing his own fans openly mock him and question his decisions? The Argentine has remained diplomatic and continues to insist he’s dedicated to the club’s long-term project despite the early hiccups. Everyone has a breaking point, though.

If Pochettino gets fed up, or the club’s infamous ownership group becomes restless and wants to make another coaching change, Ruben Amorim could be in line for his big opportunity in the Premier League. The Portuguese tactician, 39, is highly regarded after leading Sporting CP to their first league title in 19 years in 2020-21, and his uptempo, high-pressing style figures to fit well in England. He also has an excellent track record working with blossoming talents, something he’d find plenty of in west London following Chelsea’s lavish spending on some of the game’s most intriguing young players.

Juventus

Massimiliano Allegri did an excellent job guiding Juventus through a turbulent 2022-23 season, acting as the calm pillar of the club while everything around him was in turmoil thanks to points penalties, off-field investigations, the shocking mass exodus of the club’s board of directors, and more. He navigated the stormy seas and deserves credit. But this season was supposed to be a significant step forward. He said as much.

Instead, his team has stagnated on the pitch after an encouraging start, and it seems clear he’s not the right manager to take this group to the next level. The squad may be flawed in certain areas, but it’s much better than the tiresome football it’s been showing, especially during a miserable run of one win in eight games. Enter Thiago Motta, the 41-year-old who has high-flying Bologna in line for a Champions League place by applying the type of exciting style that could liberate Juventus’ players.

Manchester United

Jacques Feeney/Offside / Offside / Getty

For what feels like the millionth time, Erik ten Hag has said he hopes Manchester United’s latest win – an intoxicating last-second triumph over rivals Liverpool in the FA Cup – will be a turning point in their otherwise meandering season. Fitting, really. There have been so many “turning points” already that United are just going in circles.

Stability is vital for the long-term health and success of any club, but not just for the sake of it, and not when it’s become clear the current manager isn’t capable of taking the team to new heights. Ten Hag’s questionable personnel decisions should have the new INEOS chiefs looking to make a change, let alone the tepid play and inconsistent results. Roberto De Zerbi should be atop the list of replacements. Manchester United were once synonymous with entertaining football. The Italian could help reinstate that reputation and get the Red Devils out of their rut.

Napoli

Replacing the mastermind behind Napoli’s first Serie A title in 33 years was always going to be an enormous, unenviable task, but president Aurelio De Laurentiis bungled it in spectacular fashion. Rudi Garcia seemed like a bad fit to succeed Luciano Spalletti right from the start, and so it proved. He lasted five months. His replacement, Walter Mazzarri, didn’t even make it that long.

Napoli are on their third coach in what has been a disastrous title defense, but Francesco Calzona is little more than a temporary solution until De Laurentiis starts the process over again in the summer. To avoid making the same mistakes, he should look to Fiorentina’s Vincenzo Italiano. The 46-year-old has worked his way up the divisions; he got Trapani promoted from Serie C, helped Spezia jump from Serie B to the top tier, and brought the Viola to the Conference League final last season, all while retaining an attack-minded style of play. He’s earned this opportunity, and the interest is mutual.

Roma

With very little coaching experience to his name and just a six-month contract in hand, Daniele De Rossi was only supposed to be a temporary solution when he replaced the beleaguered Jose Mourinho on the Roma bench in mid-January. All the club legend has done since then is totally reinvigorate the team, racking up nine wins in 13 matches across all competitions – one of those being a shootout victory over Feyenoord in the Europa League – and firing Roma into the race for a Champions League spot with a free-flowing, goal-laden brand of football.

Not bad for someone whose CV only previously included a disastrous four-month stint with SPAL in Serie B. Assuming things don’t fall off a cliff in the season’s final weeks, it would be crazy for Roma to not keep De Rossi on the bench. The players clearly respect the former club captain, and he’s quickly fostered a strong bond with them. What message would it send if they opted for someone else now?

Serie A

Who's in, who's out? Breaking down Euro 2024 qualifying, playoffs, draws

The Euro 2024 puzzle is nearly complete.

The 20 automatic qualifying berths for next summer’s tournament were finalized on Tuesday, as Croatia grabbed the last of those spots, solidifying second place in Group D via a 1-0 victory over Armenia.

With Germany qualifying directly as the host nation, only three spots remain undecided. Twelve teams are now slated to compete in the qualifying playoffs, set for March 2024, to determine who’ll round out the field.

In the wake of Tuesday’s action – and looking ahead to the tournament draw – here’s everything you need to know about Euro 2024 right now.

Which teams have qualified automatically?

As outlined above, 21 of the 24 tournament berths are accounted for; the top two teams from each of the 10 qualifying groups earned progression, joining Germany. Here are the nations that can sit back and relax knowing their tickets are booked for next year’s event:

Spain (first in Group A)
Scotland (second in Group A)
France (first in Group B)
Netherlands (second in Group B)
England (first in Group C)
Italy (second in Group C)
Turkey (first in Group D)
Croatia (second in Group D)
Albania (first in Group E)
Czechia (second in Group E)
Belgium (first in Group F)
Austria (second in Group F)
Hungary (first in Group G)
Serbia (second in Group G)
Denmark (first in Group H)
Slovenia (second in Group H)
Romania (first in Group I)
Switzerland (second in Group I)
Portugal (first in Group J)
Slovakia (second in Group J)

Who will take part in the playoffs?

As was the case for Euro 2020, the qualification playoff spots for the upcoming tournament were based exclusively on teams’ performances in the 2022-23 UEFA Nations League.

The 12 teams that have reached the playoffs are split into three sections – Paths A, B, and C – and will compete in four-team tournaments. These will all be single-elimination games, with six semifinal matches scheduled for March 21, 2024, and the decisive finals in each path taking place on March 26.

The three path winners advance to Euro 2024. The main tournament draw will already be completed by this time – more on that soon – meaning the final three qualifiers will already know which group they’ll be slotted into.

The playoff paths, seeding, and semifinal matchups are as follows:

Path A: Poland (1) vs. Estonia (4), Wales (2) vs. Finland/Ukraine/Iceland (3)

Path B: Israel (1) vs. Ukraine/Iceland (4), Bosnia and Herzegovina (2) vs. Finland/Ukraine (3)

Path C: Georgia (1) vs. Luxembourg (4), Greece (2) vs. Kazakhstan (3)

A draw on Thursday, Nov. 23 at 6 a.m. ET will determine the placement of Finland, Ukraine, and Iceland while also deciding which semifinal winners will host the respective finals for each path.

Who missed the tournament completely?

Premier League stars Erling Haaland and Martin Odegaard will be watching another major international tournament from home as Norway once again failed to qualify. Other notable sides to miss out include Sweden and Ireland.

When is the main tournament draw?

The draw for the tournament proper will take place on Saturday, Dec. 2, at the Elbphilharmonie in Hamburg, Germany; Hamburg is one of the host cities for the competition. The draw begins at noon ET.

How will teams be seeded for the draw?

Seeding for the Euro 2024 draw is based on the teams’ performance in qualifying, and, according to Dale Johnson of ESPN, breaks down as follows:

Pot 1: Germany, Portugal, France, Belgium, Spain, England
Pot 2: Hungary, Turkey, Denmark, Albania, Romania, Austria
Pot 3: Netherlands, Scotland, Croatia, Slovenia, Slovakia, Czechia
Pot 4: Italy, Serbia, Switzerland, Playoff A, Playoff B, Playoff C

Germany gets an automatic place in Pot 1 as the tournament host and is joined by the five group winners from qualifying with the best records. The remaining group winners go into Pot 2, along with the best runners-up. The final two pots are based on how many points the remaining teams collected in qualifying, with the three playoff winners slotting into Pot 4.

Reigning European champion Italy assumes an unfamiliar place in Pot 4 after a nervy qualifying campaign and, in theory, will be forced to navigate a loaded group as it looks to defend its title. With the likes of the Azzurri, the Netherlands, and Croatia in Pots 3 and 4, there’ll almost certainly be some heavyweight encounters sprinkled in amongst the six groups.

Euro 2024 kicks off on June 14 of next year. Germany will take part in the opening match at Bayern Munich’s Allianz Arena.

The top two teams from each of the six groups, along with the four best third-placed finishers, advance to the knockout stages, where every game is single elimination, starting with the round of 16 through to the final.

The showpiece match will be held at the Olympiastadion in Berlin on July 14.

Serie A

Women's World Cup predictions: Champion, biggest flop, and much more

With the 2023 Women’s World Cup opening Thursday in New Zealand, we’re breaking out the crystal ball and offering up some tournament predictions.

Most excited about …

Anthony Lopopolo: Christine Sinclair is competing in her sixth – and likely final – World Cup. While she remains the most prolific international goal-scorer of all time, the 40-year-old is missing a winner’s medal from the biggest tournament of all. In her three-decade career, Sinclair has often led Canada to glory, including at the Tokyo Olympics, where the women won gold. But she’ll need help from her younger teammates – the very generation of girls she inspired with her match-winning displays – to make a deep run in Australia and New Zealand.

Gianluca Nesci: A tournament that could go down as a transformational moment for women’s football – and sport in general. “It feels like a real opportunity to blow the lid off just in terms of fanfare, media, sponsorships, and the sort of larger business around this sport,” U.S. icon Megan Rapinoe said ahead of the tournament. She’s right. Inequities persist in women’s soccer – powerhouse teams like Canada, France, and Spain have all recently been engaged in public battles for better pay, treatment, or both. But this tournament, expanded to 32 teams and generating significant interest before a ball has even been kicked, feels like it could be a vessel for long-term change that could benefit both current and future generations of players.

Breakout star

Gabriel Aponte / Getty Images Sport / Getty

Lopopolo: Giulia Dragoni. At 16, Dragoni has already made her debut for the Italian national team and joined the dominant FC Barcelona Femeni. She’s also the first woman to reside at the Spanish club’s famous La Masia academy. Nicknamed “Little Messi,” Dragoni even bumped Italy’s longtime captain, Sara Gama, out of the Women’s World Cup roster. Dragoni played mixed-gender football as a preteen and developed exceptional technique as a midfielder. Expect her to gain some minutes in the group stage before potentially earning a starting role. She wouldn’t be with the team if head coach Milena Bertolini didn’t have a plan for her.

Nesci: Linda Caicedo. The Real Madrid winger led Colombia to the Copa America Femenina final last year and won the Golden Ball as the tournament’s best player in the process. She was just 17 at the time. Caicedo is a shifty left-winger capable of beating multiple defenders over one mesmerizing run. She also excels at drifting inside, where she can find pockets of space and show off her playmaking and passing abilities. That combination makes her nearly impossible to defend. Despite her youth, the crafty dribbler is already a leader for a Colombian team on the rise. Not to be overlooked, watch out for fellow teen sensation Melchie Dumornay, Haiti’s prolific and talismanic forward.

Biggest disappointment

Danny Lawson – PA Images / PA Images / Getty

Lopopolo: Sweden. Anything less than a World Cup will come as a disappointment. The national team has already exhausted the bridesmaid narrative, finishing as runner-up at the Tokyo Olympics after a third-place showing at the 2019 World Cup. Though they have considerable experience – veterans Caroline Seger, Kosovare Asllani, and Stina Blackstenius have 491 international appearances between them – pre-tournament injuries to Seger, Asllani, and Fridolina Rolfo threaten to slow the Swedes down. Sweden has a tricky assignment as it is, with the United States or the Netherlands potentially standing in the way in the round of 16.

Nesci: Netherlands. Andries Jonker has reinvigorated the Dutch since he was appointed manager last year, and with the likes of Jill Roord and Lieke Martens, there’s still plenty of star quality on the roster. But we simply cannot overlook Vivianne Miedema’s absence. There’s also the not-so-small matter of the draw, which will see the Dutch meet the powerhouse Americans in a rematch of the 2019 final – but now it’ll come in the opening round. Finish second in Group E, as nearly everyone expects, and a last-16 meeting with Sweden likely awaits. The cards are stacked against the 2019 finalist.

Golden Boot winner

Lopopolo: Sam Kerr. Kerr has a track record of scoring big goals. She netted five at the 2019 Women’s World Cup, finishing one behind Golden Boot winner Megan Rapinoe, and led all players at the 2022 Asia Cup with seven. As Australia’s most prolific scorer – male or female – Kerr will have to play her best football to propel her team past the quarterfinal stage for the first time. She’ll also feel the warmth of the crowd as the Aussies cheer her on, as all three of Australia’s group-stage matches will take place on home soil.

Nesci: Rachel Daly. With Beth Mead injured, Daly will carry more of England’s scoring load. Coming off a WSL campaign in which she tied the league record for goals in a season (22), the Aston Villa forward is more than capable. England’s opener against Haiti is a prime opportunity for Daly to fill the net. She’ll also benefit from a deep tournament run. Don’t be fooled by Daly’s modest international stats, either: the veteran has played a variety of positions for England over the years, but should thrive as the primary threat up front this summer. Alex Morgan and Sophia Smith are good shouts, too, but if they split the difference for the U.S., Daly can collect the hardware.

Tournament final and World Cup champion

Richard Heathcote / Getty Images Sport / Getty

Lopopolo: Germany over the United States. After beating Sweden, Spain, and Italy in the knockout stage, the Americans will trip over the final hurdle and lose their bid to become the first team to win three consecutive World Cups. Germany will avenge its Euro 2022 final defeat to England when the two sides meet in the quarterfinals. German midfielder Lena Oberdorf will shut down the U.S., and Alexandra Popp, Germany’s veteran striker, will bag a brace in the 2-0 victory.

Nesci: United States over England. The reigning title holder, seeking an unprecedented third consecutive World Cup triumph, will meet – and beat – the current European champion in a final for the ages. Injuries have hit the two favorites hard in the tournament’s buildup, but the superior depth of Vlatko Andonovski’s team makes the U.S. better equipped to weather the absences. England has a title-winning pedigree after last year’s Euros but, on this stage, there’s no greater task than beating the United States. Until someone actually pulls it off, I’m not picking against the Americans.