With the new Premier League campaign kicking off Friday, we peer into our crystal ball to predict what will happen in the top flight of English football this season.
Title winners
Daniel Rouse: Manchester City. Even without Harry Kane, it’s hard to overlook Pep Guardiola’s side for back-to-back titles. City impressed without a striker on their 2020-21 Champions League run and could’ve won the final if it wasn’t for some classic overthinking from Guardiola. A false nine would be fine.
Gianluca Nesci: Manchester City. All the other legitimate title contenders have either strengthened heavily in the transfer market or had vital contributors recover from long-term injuries, but Guardiola still has the best squad at his disposal, and it could yet get even better. The gap at the very top remains significant.
Champions League places
Rouse: Manchester City, Chelsea, Manchester United, Liverpool. No surprises here. Leicester City tumbled out of the Champions League places in the final weeks of the past two top-flight seasons, but the gap could grow while Patson Daka settles in and Wesley Fofana overcomes a serious injury.
Nesci: Ditto. The proverbial “Big Six” is dead. There’s a clear gulf between the four aforementioned clubs and the likes of Leicester, Arsenal, and Tottenham Hotspur. The Foxes continue to grow and improve, but they’re not at that level, while the north London pair are regressing.
Relegated clubs
Rouse: Crystal Palace, Southampton, Watford. Palace’s offseason business is encouraging and they have plenty of entertainers, but tough fixtures to begin the season and Patrick Vieira’s questionable credentials could put them in trouble. Southampton, meanwhile, sold Danny Ings. That doesn’t seem wise.
Nesci: Burnley, Norwich City, Watford. For the positive reasons my colleague outlined above, Palace will narrowly avoid the drop. In their stead is Burnley, who have somehow managed to continually fend off relegation despite a lack of investment and overall talent. Sean Dyche’s magic touch has to wear off at some point, right? Norwich, meanwhile, will have a terribly difficult time without the inventiveness of Emi Buendia.
Full predicted table
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ROUSE
POSITION
NESCI
Manchester City
1
Manchester City
Chelsea
2
Chelsea
Manchester United
3
Liverpool
Liverpool
4
Manchester United
Leicester City
5
Leicester City
Arsenal
6
Arsenal
Tottenham Hotspur
7
Tottenham Hotspur
Everton
8
West Ham United
Aston Villa
9
Aston Villa
West Ham United
10
Everton
Leeds United
11
Leeds United
Newcastle United
12
Brighton & Hove Albion
Wolverhampton Wanderers
13
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Brighton & Hove Albion
14
Newcastle United
Brentford
15
Brentford
Burnley
16
Crystal Palace
Norwich City
17
Southampton
Southampton
18
Burnley
Crystal Palace
19
Norwich City
Watford
20
Watford
PFA Player of the Year
Rouse: Riyad Mahrez. The Algerian was City’s best attacking player last term and has looked sharp in preseason. His position on the right also doesn’t have much competition while Raheem Sterling is deployed on the left and Bernardo Silva is regularly handed a battling midfield role.
Nesci: Phil Foden. Kevin De Bruyne, the two-time reigning award winner, feels like the obvious choice; the Belgian is the most dazzling player in the league and pulls the strings for the best team. But, primarily in the interest of freshness, Foden gets the nod. He’s certainly talented enough and has Guardiola’s trust, so he should get more opportunities to deliver eye-popping numbers this season. KDB voter fatigue could play a role here, too.
Golden Boot winner
Rouse: Harry Kane. He’s won it three times out of the last eight years and could enjoy service from De Bruyne this season. And the supply lines at Tottenham – from the likes of Heung-Min Son through the middle or Sergio Reguilon out wide – aren’t so bad if he stays in north London.
Nesci: Mohamed Salah. Were it not for Jorginho taking penalty opportunities away from Romelu Lukaku, the returning Chelsea star would have been the pick here. With that in mind, attention turns to Salah, a two-time winner of the accolade who will again act as the primary scoring threat for a Liverpool side that should be rejuvenated this season.
Best signing
Rouse: Ibrahima Konate. He’s an extremely dependable defender at just 22 and addresses a problem area for Liverpool, so he could prove a snip at £36 million. When it comes to true bargain buys, Michael Olise to Palace, Demarai Gray to Everton, and Tino Livramento to Southampton were all excellent value.
Nesci: There are so many to pick from!Jadon Sancho and Daka stand out, though. Maybe it’s recency bias toward pricier deals for Jack Grealish and Lukaku, but it sure feels like everyone’s forgotten just how dynamic the new Manchester United winger is. Even if the Red Devils aren’t quite at the standard of their neighbors yet, the electrifying Sancho will be must-see viewing. Daka, meanwhile, was arguably the steal of the entire window.
Worst signing
Rouse: Asmir Begovic. He won’t be the first-choice goalkeeper, but an injury to Jordan Pickford will leave Everton extremely vulnerable between the sticks. It will be entertaining for the neutrals, at least, as the 34-year-old Begovic is a reliable source of calamity and indiscipline.
Nesci: Milot Rashica. In a vacuum, the 25-year-old isn’t a bad player, but that’s not the only thing that determines whether a deal is successful; the context of the signing is key. In the wake of Buendia’s departure, Norwich needed someone to help fill that huge creative void. They landed on the Kosovan winger, who put up pretty ordinary numbers, especially from a playmaking standpoint, with Werder Bremen. It’s possible he takes a big step forward in his development this season, but the Canaries are banking a lot on that happening, even if the transfer fee was very modest.
Breakout star
Rouse: Carney Chukwuemeka. There are plenty of youngsters who will seamlessly slot into senior setups this term – Leicester’s Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall springs to mind – but in terms of explosiveness, Aston Villa’s attack-minded, rangy midfielder, Chukwuemeka, is wonderful to watch.
Nesci: Marc Guehi. After spending two seasons honing his craft on loan with Swansea City, the 21-year-old Palace center-back gets a chance to showcase his talent to a Premier League audience after freeing himself from the Chelsea loan army. A leader at the back who’s comfortable and skilled on the ball, the Ivorian-born youngster is a prototypical modern center-back.
Biggest surprise
Rouse: Here’s a ballsy prediction: This will be Sean Dyche’s final season as Burnley boss. The club and manager have become synonymous over Dyche’s near nine-year stint, but the spending money that the 50-year-old craved hasn’t been forthcoming since ALK Capital’s takeover in late 2000.
Nesci: English fans and media admitting they were wrong about Lukaku after he dominates at Stamford Bridge. The business practice of selling low and buying extremely high on the same player years later is highly questionable, but Lukaku is one of the game’s elite strikers and will deliver tons of goals for Chelsea. The ridicule he faced in England was always misguided, but he returns a more complete player after running riot in Italy.
Most excited about …
Rouse: Thomas Frank annoying fellow managers. The Brentford boss once got into a touchline fracas with a Swansea City player, was warned for drawing up tactics on a whiteboard during a drinks break, and led a pre-match lap of honor to lift the crowd before a playoff semifinal. He’ll be a fun addition.
Nesci: A (hopefully) “normal” football season, complete with fans, that doesn’t feel like an absolute slog. That might be wishful thinking, especially considering we’re starting back up again so soon after Euro 2020, but the prospect of a campaign not totally dictated by COVID-19 is an extremely welcome change after the last 18 months.
Breaking down thrilling EPL title race with 10 games left
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One of the most intoxicating title races in Premier League history is, mercifully, ready to resume.
The quirks of the calendar – an FA Cup weekend succeeded by an agonizing international window – means the titanic tussle between Arsenal, Liverpool, and Manchester City will have been on hiatus for a full three weeks before it gets back underway on Sunday.
But there are no more impending interruptions. With 10 matches remaining for each title contender, we’re barreling toward a resolution to the type of three-way battle that’s exceedingly rare in England’s top flight. There’s never been a season in the Premier League era where three teams went into the final day with a chance to hoist the trophy. This could be it. The last time it happened was the 1971-72 campaign, when Derby County won an incredible four-team fight, narrowly beating Leeds United and, ominously, Liverpool and Man City to the crown. We’re overdue for that kind of drama.
That three sides have converged this way at all is, frankly, remarkable.
These are the three best teams in the country by an enormous margin. They’re the only ones with an expected goal difference per game of plus-1.0 or greater this season. The next best mark, surprisingly, belongs to Mauricio Pochettino’s erratic Chelsea team at plus-0.36. So, yeah, it’s not close.
The three of them are also on a tear and show no signs of slowing down. Arsenal have won all eight of their league games in 2024, scoring 33 goals in the process; Liverpool have collected 22 of a possible 27 points in that time; reigning champions Manchester City have racked up 23 of 27 points. They’ve combined for just one loss since the calendar flipped – Liverpool’s 3-1 defeat against Arsenal in early February.
The only sides that look capable of halting their progress are each other, which makes this weekend’s clash between Manchester City and Arsenal at the Etihad all the more significant.
Euro 2024 playoffs: Miraculous Ukraine comeback, big result for Wales
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Wales, Greece, and Poland registered statement wins Thursday, joining three other teams in next Tuesday’s playoff finals for the three remaining places at Euro 2024.
Ukraine staged an incredible late comeback against Bosnia and Herzegovina in its semifinal to keep its Euro dream alive.
The highest-placed team in FIFA’s rankings that’s no longer in contention to reach the tournament in Germany is 60th-placed Finland.
Here’s how the playoff semifinals across Path A, B, and C played out.
Path A
Mateusz Slodkowski / Getty Images Sport / Getty
Poland 5-1 Estonia
Estonia barely stood a chance. Down to 10 men as early as the 27th minute, the northern Europeans could only muster a consolation goal in a 5-1 loss to Poland. The Polish achieved the rout without Robert Lewandowski getting on the scoresheet and remain unbeaten in 21 Euro qualifiers at home, a magnificent run dating back to September 2006. Poland is trying to make up for a poor qualifying campaign in which it finished third in Group E, four points behind the Czech Republic and Albania. The country hasn’t missed the Euros since 2004.
Wales 4-1 Finland
The Red Wall might descend on Germany this summer. Wales’ raucous supporters have legitimate hopes of traveling to another major tournament after the Dragons scorched Finland without the retired Gareth Bale and with Aaron Ramsey, 33, on the bench after more injury problems. Teemu Pukki gave the visiting team some hope just before halftime following well-taken finishes from David Brooks and Neco Williams. But Wales needed just 73 seconds of the second period to restore its two-goal cushion via Brennan Johnson’s tap-in. Daniel James took advantage of a defensive error before rounding the goalkeeper in the 86th minute to give the host a resounding victory.
Playoff final: Wales vs. Poland, Tuesday 3:45 p.m. ET
Path B
David Balogh – UEFA / UEFA / Getty
Israel 1-4 Iceland
Iceland’s Albert Gudmundsson stole the show with an emphatic hat-trick against Israel on Thursday. His stunning free-kick into the top right corner canceled out Eran Zahavi’s opening goal for Israel, and he created a nice cushion for his country with a pair of markers in the final 10 minutes. Just before that, Zahavi blew an incredible opportunity to equalize the match at 2-2, missing a penalty awarded for handball against Iceland’s Gudmundur Thorarinsson. A red card to Israel’s Haim Revivo didn’t help the trailing side. Iceland is now a game away from making only its second-ever appearance at the Euros following its quarterfinal run in 2016.
Bosnia and Herzegovina 1-2 Ukraine
Ukraine scored twice with just minutes remaining in regulation to snatch what seemed to be a sure victory from Bosnia and Herzegovina on Thursday. Bosnia controlled play for most of the match and took the lead in the 56th minute when Mykola Matviyenko turned in Amar Dedic’s shot into his own net. But a colossal defensive lapse cost the Bosnians a chance to make it a record four countries from the former Yugoslavia at Euro 2024. Roman Yaremchuk came off the bench to equalize in the 85th minute and teed up Artem Dovbyk’s sensational winning header three minutes later to turn the playoff semifinal on its head. Ukraine now faces Iceland with a third consecutive Euro appearance at stake.
Playoff final: Ukraine vs. Iceland, Tuesday 3:45 p.m. ET
Path C
GIORGI ARJEVANIDZE / AFP / Getty
Georgia 2-0 Luxembourg
Two clever finishes from Budu Zivzivadze in Tbilisi assured Georgia of a place in Path C’s final – and all without the help of suspended talisman Khvicha Kvaratskhelia. But it wasn’t that simple for the host. Luxembourg thought it equalized during the second half, only for the goal to be eventually snatched away due to Maxime Chanot’s apparent foul 45 seconds earlier. Luxembourg’s Chanot was controversially sent off for denying a clear goal-scoring opportunity, and Zivzivadze effectively ended the match six minutes later with his second strike. Kvaratskhelia is available for the final.
Greece 5-0 Kazakhstan
Anastasios Bakasetas lashed home a penalty, Dimitrios Pelkas headed into the net’s roof, Fotis Ioannidis tapped in from close range, and Dimitrios Kourbelis added another header. And that was all before halftime. Kazakhstan’s impressive 2022-23 Nations League campaign and notable Euro 2024 qualifying wins over Denmark, Northern Ireland (twice), and Finland suddenly seemed ages ago, as Greece recorded its biggest halftime lead since October 1978 (5-0 against Finland). Aleksandr Marochkin’s embarrassing own goal in the 85th minute made Kazakhstan’s day even worse.
Playoff final: Georgia vs. Greece, Tuesday 1:00 p.m. ET
Look: Nike unveils beautiful kit selection for Euro 2024, Copa America
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Nike released a stunning batch of threads ahead of Euro 2024 and Copa America on Monday.
Days after Adidas launched its lineup for the summer’s top two tournaments, Nike followed suit with an array of colorful designs.
The U.S. manufacturer also announced redesigns for Canada and Poland, even though they’ve yet to qualify for their respective tournaments. The Canucks face Trinidad and Tobago in a one-off Copa America qualifier on Saturday, while Poland must navigate a four-team playoff to reach Euro 2024.
(All images courtesy of Nike)
Euro 2024
Croatia
Home
The square-shaped design that gives Croatia its unique look gets a slight upgrade. The home shirt features larger squares than ever before.
Away
Croatia’s away shirt plays on the national flag, with the traditional checkered pattern now on a slant.
England
Home
Influenced by England’s 1966 training gear, the home shirt has a classic feel with a rich blue collar and gorgeous trim along the cuffs.
Away
England embraces a deep purple hue for its away selection. The crest stands out with a contrasting off-white tint that makes the three lions pop.
France
Home
France’s home shirt may have the biggest crest of all of Nike’s offerings. The oversized rooster defines this shirt as much as the royal blue that’s made France’s kits a crowd-pleaser.
Away
The pinstripes mirror the colors of France’s national flag and span the width of the shirt in a simple, yet elegant design.
Netherlands
Home
Nike could’ve offered anything orange here, and it would’ve been perfect. But the Netherlands has something bolder and better to wear. The zig-zag pattern adds edge.
Away
The orange collar and cuffs pop alongside the three shades of blue Nike has chosen to create the abstract design on this work of art.
Poland
Home
Poland dedicates premium real estate on the country’s home shirt to its imposing crest.
Away
Poland’s away shirt is a daring choice. The graphic treatment adds texture, giving it a rugged feel while separating from the red tones of years past.
Portugal
Home
With possibly the best home shirt in Nike’s collection, Portugal leans heavily into its traditional red-and-green motif with a polo collar and thick cuffs. The logo sits prominently as well. A smash hit.
Away
Here’s another winner. Portugal’s away strip has a stunning textile imprint that gives off a cool summer vibe.
Turkey
Home
This is a menacing look. Turkey will look like a whirring red army with these imposing shirts.
Away
The classic red band returns to Turkey’s away uniform. Like the others, it features an oversized crest in the middle of the shirt.
Copa America
Brazil
Home
Nike goes big with Brazil’s crest and adds an intricate design to the same yellow hue the Selecao have used for decades.
Away
Brazil’s secondary strip feels like the beach. A horizontal wavy pattern covering the entire shirt mimics the country’s picturesque coastline.
Canada
Home
The only blemish in Nike’s lineup. Why is there a circle around the swoosh? And why are the shoulders so much darker than the body? None of it makes sense.
Away
The 13 pinstripes are supposed to represent the 10 provinces and three territories that make up Canada. Unfortunately, the rest of the shirt looks incomplete.
United States
Home
The United States men’s national team gets a classic home shirt with patriotic detailing along the color and sleeves.
Away
The gradient works perfectly with the red shorts the U.S. will wear at the Copa America.